In this section: Learn about our new Solar Cycle #24; our last Solar Cycle #23; about Solar Cycles in general, about our changing interstellar environment; and about the effects of Solar Flares for humans and human consciousness.
Related Articles:
Solar Cycles Cause Global Warming & Cooling, not Humans
Global Climate NEWS LINKS and Resources
"The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 96 in February of 2013. We are currently about three years into Cycle 24. Increased activity in the last few months has raised the predicted maximum and moved it earlier in 2013. The current predicted size still makes this the smallest sunspot cycle in over 80 years."
Solar Cycle 24 is expected to have a below-average number of sunspots, the lowest of any cycle since 1928. 1 year before the 1929 Stock Market Crash.
"We find a starting time of October 2008 Stock market Crash with minimum occurring in November 2008 and maximum of about 96 in February of 2013." (Maximum was previously expected in May-June of 2013) With a Stock Market Peak.
MY NOTE: A low number of sunspots does not mean weaker solar flares, just less occuring.
The Latest "science" News on Solar Weather & Solar Cycle 24
Getting Ready for the
Related Articles:
Solar Cycles Cause Global Warming & Cooling, not Humans
Global Climate NEWS LINKS and Resources
"The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 96 in February of 2013. We are currently about three years into Cycle 24. Increased activity in the last few months has raised the predicted maximum and moved it earlier in 2013. The current predicted size still makes this the smallest sunspot cycle in over 80 years."
Solar Cycle 24 is expected to have a below-average number of sunspots, the lowest of any cycle since 1928. 1 year before the 1929 Stock Market Crash.
"We find a starting time of October 2008 Stock market Crash with minimum occurring in November 2008 and maximum of about 96 in February of 2013." (Maximum was previously expected in May-June of 2013) With a Stock Market Peak.
MY NOTE: A low number of sunspots does not mean weaker solar flares, just less occuring.
January 3, 2012 Update
NASA Solar Physics / Marshall Space Flight Center
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml
NASA Solar Physics / Marshall Space Flight Center
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml
Credit: NOAA/Space Weather Prediction Center
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml
The Latest "science" News on Solar Weather & Solar Cycle 24
The Effects of Solar Flares for Human Consciousness
Solar Cycles in General & the Previous Solar Cycle
Getting Ready for the
Next Big Solar Storm
In Sept. 1859, on the eve of a below-average1 solar cycle, the sun unleashed one of the most powerful storms in centuries. The underlying flare was so unusual, researchers still aren't sure how to categorize it. The blast peppered Earth with the most energetic protons in half-a-millennium, induced electrical currents that set telegraph offices on fire, and sparked Northern Lights over Cuba and Hawaii.
This week, officials have gathered at the National Press Club in Washington DC to ask themselves a simple question: What if it happens again? ...
Full Story
This week, officials have gathered at the National Press Club in Washington DC to ask themselves a simple question: What if it happens again? ...
Full Story
Long Range Solar Forecast
The Sun's Great Conveyor Belt has slowed to a record-low crawl, according to research by NASA solar physicist David Hathaway. "It's off the bottom of the charts," he says. "This has important repercussions for future solar activity."
The Great Conveyor Belt is a massive circulating current of fire (hot plasma) within the Sun. It has two branches, north and south, each taking about 40 years to perform one complete circuit. Researchers believe the turning of the belt controls the sunspot cycle, and that's why the slowdown is important.
Full Story
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Our previous solar cycle, #23, began in October of 1996. The climb from a sunspot minimum to a sunspot maximum takes approximately four years. The decline from maximum to minimum takes approximately seven years. A typical solar cycle is eleven years. The peak lasts from 2 to 4 years, The cycles are measured from minimum to minimum and range from 9 to 14 years.
The odd numbered cycles tend to be more intense than their preceding even numbered cycles, and the general trend of cycle amplitudes was increasing up to cycle #23. For this reason, many researchers thought that cycle #23 might have exceeded cycle 22, the third largest in recorded history, which peaked in 1989, and could have been larger than cycle #19, which was the largest in recorded history and which peaked in 1957-8, however, cycle #23 was not a record setter. Cycles 22 and 23 together created our previous 22-year Hale Cycle.
Also note that there is a difference between the rate of sunspots occurring and the intensity of any specific solar flare emerging from the sun.
- a project of international cooperation between The European Space Agency (ESA) and NASA.
SOHO movies
SOHO Home (European Site)
SOHO Home (US Site)
SIDC (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center). The SIDC is the solar physics research department of the Royal Observatory of Belgium. Its operational activities include the World Data Center for the sunspot index and the Regional Warning Center Belgium for space weather forecasting.
SIDC Home Page: http://sidc.oma.be/
Space Weather Bureau - http://www.spaceweather.com/
NOAA's "Space Weather Now" - http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SWN/index.htmlNOAA's "Space Weather Prediction Center" - http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/index.htm
The Great Conveyor Belt is a massive circulating current of fire (hot plasma) within the Sun. It has two branches, north and south, each taking about 40 years to perform one complete circuit. Researchers believe the turning of the belt controls the sunspot cycle, and that's why the slowdown is important.
Full Story
Are Sunspots Disappearing?
Since the longer "Solar Grand Maximum" cycle is over and we will be entering a "Solar Grand Minimum" over the decades ahead, we should start to se a decrease in solar cycle intensity; as well as the start of a global cooling--contrary to the global warming scare popularized in the media. Predications about solar cycle 24 seem to confirm this. Low solar activity has a profound effect on Earth’s atmosphere, allowing it to cool and contract
Related Article:
Solar Cycles Cause Global Warming & Cooling
- not Humans
A Solar Filament on the Sun
Image & Caption Credit: Earth-orbiting TRACE satellite, NASA
Image & Caption Credit: Earth-orbiting TRACE satellite, NASA
"Hot gas frequently erupts from the Sun. One such eruption produced the glowing filament pictured above, which was captured in 2000 July by the Earth-orbiting TRACE satellite. The filament, although small compared to the overall size of the Sun, measures over 100,000 kilometers in height, so that the entire Earth could easily fit into its outstretched arms. Gas in the filament is funneled by the complex and changing magnetic field of the Sun. After lifting off from the Sun's surface, most of the filamentary gas will eventually fall back. More powerful solar eruptions emit particles that reach the Earth and can disrupt manmade satellites. The cause and nature of solar eruptions are the topic of much research."
NOAA's Sun Spot Graph (shown below) is updated monthly on
http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/
http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/
Graph: NOAA, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Solar Cycle #23 & Solar Cycles in General
The 22 year Duplex Cycle
Solar Cycle 24 is but the first half of the 22-year solar duplex cycle called the "Hale Cycle." Solar Cycle 25, which is expected to start around 2018-2020 and to peak around 2023-2024, will create the second half of our new 22-year Hale Cycle.Our previous solar cycle, #23, began in October of 1996. The climb from a sunspot minimum to a sunspot maximum takes approximately four years. The decline from maximum to minimum takes approximately seven years. A typical solar cycle is eleven years. The peak lasts from 2 to 4 years, The cycles are measured from minimum to minimum and range from 9 to 14 years.
The odd numbered cycles tend to be more intense than their preceding even numbered cycles, and the general trend of cycle amplitudes was increasing up to cycle #23. For this reason, many researchers thought that cycle #23 might have exceeded cycle 22, the third largest in recorded history, which peaked in 1989, and could have been larger than cycle #19, which was the largest in recorded history and which peaked in 1957-8, however, cycle #23 was not a record setter. Cycles 22 and 23 together created our previous 22-year Hale Cycle.
Also note that there is a difference between the rate of sunspots occurring and the intensity of any specific solar flare emerging from the sun.
Graph: Jan Alvestad / Data from Sunspot Index Data Center in Brussels
A solar cycle begins during the decline of the previous cycle. The minimum level of solar activity between cycles 22 and 23 occurred in May of 1996. Solar cycle # 23 began in 1996 (not shown in the graph below).
Graph: NOAA, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Our Sun's Changing Interstellar Environment
Let us also recognize that our sun (and our entire solar system), encapsulated in its protective womb (heliosphere), is traveling through a continually changing interstellar environment quite rapidly. (The sun speeds at approximately 8,200 miles per minute through interstellar space, currently toward a point in the heavens called the "Solar Apex" near the Vega star system. This does not imply our Sun's path is a straight line, it only indicates our Sun's current direction of movement.) Changes encountered in the interstellar environment (such as in its charge density) may also have a tremendous effect upon our entire star system and in the evolutionary changes in store for us. Strong evidence from the Russian Academy of Sciences (Dr. Alexey N. Dmitriev 1997) suggests our entire helioshpere, is being highly charged because of exactly this, effecting not only Earth, but all of the planets in our solar system, in an irreversible way. Dr. Dmitriev suggests that this is a primary cause of many of the physical changes we are experiencing such as in climate change, ozone distribution levels, and the occurrence of luminous atmospheric phenomena (rather than being caused by man’s environmental tampering). Thus, the effect of our current precessional transition may nest within greater interstellar changes as well. It is interesting to note that Dr. Dmitriev also states that there is probability that we may be moving into a rapid temperature instability period like the one that occurred about 10,000 years ago--curiously the time around Earth's last erect Precessional Cross, the 90° point in Earth's precessional cycle.Reference
SOHO (Solar and Heliosperic Observatory)- a project of international cooperation between The European Space Agency (ESA) and NASA.
SOHO movies
SOHO Home (European Site)
SOHO Home (US Site)
SIDC (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center). The SIDC is the solar physics research department of the Royal Observatory of Belgium. Its operational activities include the World Data Center for the sunspot index and the Regional Warning Center Belgium for space weather forecasting.
SIDC Home Page: http://sidc.oma.be/
Additional Resources
NASA Solar Research http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/Space Weather Bureau - http://www.spaceweather.com/
NOAA's "Space Weather Now" - http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SWN/index.htmlNOAA's "Space Weather Prediction Center" - http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/index.htm
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